Recent News and Insights
2026 Fall Outlook
Investors are navigating a market environment increasingly shaped by a sequence of interconnected forces. Geopolitical tensions are keeping energy prices high. Rising energy prices are contributing to persistent inflation pressures. Elevated inflation is keeping the Fed hawkish and contributing to higher Treasury yields. But despite these headwinds, the U.S. economy continues to demonstrate resilience.
Market Commentary: September 23, 2026
The Federal Reserve's latest rate hike was not simply about inflation. Chairman Kevin Warsh’s reputation for independence was also on the line, with some experts calling the Fed’s policy move a “credibility hike.” Without the overwhelming pressure of market expectations, would the Fed still have tightened interest rates?
While New Year’s resolutions are likely long forgotten, it is never too late to [...]
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The last week of August is typically reserved for holiday vacations and back-to-school prep. However, this August demanded investors’ attention as markets had no shortage of consequential news to process. Our key takeaway: the bull case, founded on capex-driven earnings growth, remains intact.
Last week’s earnings results from several major retailers gave an important fresh look into how U.S. consumers may be feeling—and spending. The major retailers generally confirmed the view of steady consumer spending, reporting solid results. However, as expected, there were some signs of consumers becoming more cautious.
Two of the main headwinds facing U.S. equity markets are inflation and rising long-term interest rates. While inflation remains sticky, the most recent CPI data showed some easing in price pressures. However, attention has increased on the Treasury yield curve, and by extension, what interest rates and the scale of U.S. Treasury debt issuance are signaling about America's fiscal health.
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The recent earnings reports from several major hyperscalers reinforced that AI is a strategic imperative reshaping the capital allocation priorities of the world’s largest technology companies. Those earnings reports also served as a mini referendum on the AI buildout and what investors are prioritizing today.
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Timothy A. Hoyle, CFA, Chief Investment Officer thoyle@haverfordquality.com Pivotal Week for the Markets The [...]
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2026 Midsummer Outlook Halfway through the year, the market-moving themes we identified in January [...]
Bryan P. Tracy, CFA, CFP®, CLU®, Vice President & Director of Portfolio Management btracy@haverfordquality.com [...]
